Alex eating cake

Alex is 1 yr old. The year went really fast, and I can't believe that last year at this time he was so tiny (well, tiny for Alex) and helpless. He is now walking everywhere (and loves to show off) and is saying more words Today he said 'sock' and 'duck, quack, quack, quack' of course it is more like 'kok' and 'uck, ka, ka, ka' but I know what he is saying.

We had 3 birthday parties for Alex. The first one was with just Justin, Alex, and I. The next one we had our friends over (Justin's co-workers and families) and that is when he had his "real" cake according to my nephew, Parker. He had a lot of fun showing off his new walking skill and everyone else really enjoyed watching him eat his cake. The third party was yesterday. We had our playgroup over so Alex could play with his friends. Lots of moms/kids came and we had a real good time; until a 5 yr old threw a ball at Alex's face....he was not a well behaved 5 yr old. We had some snacks and cupcakes at this party.

The video is from the 1st 2 parties of Alex eating his cake. He didn't get as messy as I thought he would (I figured I'd be cleaing cake off the walls and windows) and only managed to get it all over his face, but as you can see, he really likes cake!

Marathon success

We all made it to the finish line of the Disney 1/2 marathon Sat. Going into it, I wasn't real sure how I'd do. I knew Justin and his parents would do great, but didn't have that much confidence in myself. I've heard that the crowds of fans cheering really help get you going, and it is true. I walked most of the way, but always kicked it up a notch for the big crowds. Several people passed me on the way, so I was afraid to look back most of the time. I figured there would be some stragglers, but that I was in the back of the pack and didn't want to get discouraged. We had to go over an overpass with the runners behind you running under it, and when I looked down and saw the hundreds of people still behind me, it was unbeliveably motivating and kept me going until the end. I finished at 3 hrs 19 min. Justin finished at a amazing 2 hrs 38 min and his parents finished around 2 hrs 40 min. We all were quite sore and are just now getting over the soreness, but I'm so proud of us for all finishing strong. Not in a big hurry to do it again, but proud nonetheless.
Theresa

It's a Small World

At Disney World this past weekend, one of Alex's favorite rides was the "It's a Small World" ride. He got to sit in front, and started singing and dancing along with the music. Here's a video of it; about 1 min in he starts making noises, but really gets into it at about 1:30 min.





For being pretty young (1 year old in 8 days!!) and not knowing the characters, he seemed to have a really good time at Disney and at the Animal Kingdom. He went on all the rides he could (we realized his 32 inches of height isn't too far short for some of the rides, proving once again how big the kid is) and must have mom's stomach, because he liked the rides that spun in circles. (meaning mom actually got to go on them this time). He got to pet some baby goats at the Animal kingdom, and watch a few parades. For having 2 days with little to no nap time, he was very happy and such a good boy. We weren't sure what to expect, but he was better then we could have hoped.

Here's a video of him petting the goats. He is very curious!

Cards

I think the best way to evaluate the Cards off season to this point is to look at the goals we had going into the season:

1) Fix the left hand of the bullpen
2) Figure out who is going to close
3) Find a starter
4) Trade an outfielder
5) Shore up the middle infield

Let’s look at each of these in turn before we rush to judgment on what we have done so far. Before we do that, let’s put some things in context. I think most Cards fans who are unhappy with our off season to this point feel that Cards ownership is sitting on significant income without making significant pay outs. A value of 10 mil a year has been floating around for several months now as a figure we should have to spend based on contracts that came off the books in relation to last year’s payroll. First things first, this is not last year, in case you have not noticed we are in the middle of the worst economic downturn since WWII. Just keeping our payroll steady is something to be happy with (you can thank the All-Star game for that). If you take a close look at the roster matrix posted here http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/stories/5 you will see how many have gotten to that 10mil figure. On review I think several of those numbers are low (Ankiel/ludwick) which leaves us with more like 5-7 mil currently. For those of you who still think we are cheap you may want to check out this article http://stl-sabr.bajink.com/fungoes/?p=1551.

1) Fix the left hand of the bullpen - There has been a lot of lament around the water cooler about our pickups so far. I think the most frequent complaint centers around the perception of the cards being cheep and picking up retreads. At the end of the day this new group of LOOGYs are likely going to be better than last year’s was. Take a look at this article for more information http://stl-sabr.bajink.com/fungoes/?cat=10. Now we have less than 4mil invested in this group which is certainly a lot less than Ohman/Afelt/Fuentes were going to cost. In fact we saved about 15mil a year and lost about 2-3 wins based on performance projections. Good investments.

2) Closer – Review of last year’s performance shows that the Cards blew the most saves in the majors. Did you also know that the Cards had the most save opportunities in the majors? If you put Brad Lidge on our team last year we would have averaged 4-6 more wins based on the numbers. This puts us ahead of the Brewers and into the playoffs. Seems like a no brain decision, go out and find a lights out closer and pay them what they want. Not so fast, remember we really only have about 7mil to play with (being optimistic). A lights out closer is going to cost us more than that. Now if you look at last year with Mott and Perez finishing off games instead of Franklin/Izzy those numbers start to narrow up a lot. Do you want to spend 10mil on two wins?

3) Find a starter – This is where I feel that we have been let down. First I think we over spent on Lohse. Four years? Have we learned nothing? Right now we have a rotation of Wainright, Lohse, The Coronel, Pineiro, and maybe Carp. There are two very big question marks in there for me. Basically we have a number 2, two number 4’s, and a number 5 pitcher on our staff. I pray that we can pick at least one starter up with the money we saved by passing on and expensive closer or LOOGY. The other option would be to trade an outfielder for pitching. Unless Carp comes back looking like his Cy Young self we need more pitching if we want any chance of overtaking the Cubs. I still like Sheets if he can be gotten for 20 and 2. Johnson would have been the best fit however. Still can’t figure why we did not jump on that.
4) Outfield – Right now we have 6 potential big league outfielders. It looks like Rasmus is going to get a shot this year and you know Lud will be out there. That leaves Ankiel, Duncan, The Shoe man, and Mather as potential other starters (Not to mention some minor league 3rd sackers that will be seeing time in the outfield soon). Duncan and schumaker have limited trade value and Mather is more of a backup at this point leaving Ankiel as our one major bargaining chip. I still would like to see him moved for pitching (but to who?). Hopeful he and Duncan come out swinging giving us some trade bait either this spring or at the deadline. At this point I feel we need starting pitching so bad I would trade an outfielder, Anderson, and one of our third base prospects for a #2 starter if at all possible.

5) Middle infield – Even a bad Green should be worth more production than our SS last year. I like Kennedy at second one last year. We could not afford to give him away and his defense was nothing short of spectacular last year. A full year of Green and Kennedy up the middle should be at least as good as Miles/Izturis with the glove. I also think regular playing time in a contract year will go a long way to help finding his stroke.

In conclusion, we are a better team than we were last year. How much better? My guess is about 5 wins. We are still very week in the starting rotation (what if Carp can’t go). If we can get at least a #2 via trade or FA signing I will consider this off season very successful. If not, I think a great opportunity will be missed. It will not be that long until a certain future HOF 1st basemen gets a substantial raise.

My sister sent me an email with a video showing a baby belly laughing every time his dad hit the ball in wii golf. Alex watched the video with me, and cracked up every time that other baby did. Here are the videos I took of him laughing (You can hear the other video in the background):










He's still laughing as I play these videos back. Too cute!!

1/2 marathon....YIKES!!

Well, we head down to FL tomorrow for a little vacation before walking our 1/2 marathon at Disney on Sat morn. We aren't really prepared (I REALLY am not ready) so hopefully we will finish and not be super sore afterwards. Haven't done a whole lot to prepare this last month. Before Thanksgiving Alex and I were walking several miles every day, but then we went home and it got cold. I didn't want to walk for a couple hours in the cold much less drag the Buddy out in it, so my training topped out at 8 miles 1.5 mos ago.

At least we'll be able to have some fun in the Disney parks before the torture and soreness. And we get to bring Alex to Disney for the first time. He's getting there well before I did; I was 29 before I went the first time.

Wish us luck!!
Theresa

Go Mizzou!

Well they pulled it off last night. I think I gave myself an ulcer watching the game but it was good to see them go out on a winning note. If you look back on the season we were really only 2 plays away from winning 11 again during the regular schedule. That would have put us in a much bigger bowl game, and based on last night’s showing a loss. So you have to ask yourself would you rather be 11 – 3 with a bowl loss or 10 – 4 with a bowl win? Discuss.

I think number 10 has an uphill climb heading into the draft. 5 games into the season he looked unstoppable, now…I’m not too sure. No doubt he is the best quarterback Mizzou has seen in a long time, but will that be good enough. On the up side he can move well and was second in percentage of completed passes. On the down side he is shorter than most hobbits and has those 17 pics.

As for 45, is there a better TE on the market? He catches everything thrown in his zip code. I hope he somehow ends up with the Rams but they have bigger fish to fry.

Let’s hear your predictions for next year. If 9 leaves we may struggle to win the north again. If he stays I like our chances.